Real Arbitrage Examples

Soccer – UEFA – Bucharest Vs Madrid

Pinnacle Sports offered odds of 2.08 on Bucharest with a +0.5 handicap.

Victor Chandler offered odds of 2.02 on Real Madrid with a -0.5 handicap.

  1. $1000 x 2.08 = $480.76
  2. $1000 x 2.02 = $495.05

So if we place a $480 bet on Bucharest (+0.5) at Pinnacle Sports and a $495 bet on Real Madrid (-0.5) at Victor Chandler, we commit $975 in bets to win roughly $1000 regardless of the outcome..

In the end Real Madrid won, securing the $24.90 profit:

  • $495 x 2.02 = $999.90
  • $999.90 – $975 = $24.90

That is a 2.55% return on investment.

If Bucharest had won, the profit would have been $24.90:

  • $480 x 2.08 = $998.40
  • $998.40 – $975 = $23.40

Which would have been an equally impressive 2.4% return on investment.

ATP – Berrer Vs Robredo

Pinnacle Sports offered odds of 5.7 on Berrer to win.

Expekt offered odds of 1.25 on Robredo to win

  1. $1000 x 5.70 = $175.44
  2. $1000 x 1.25 = $800.00

Place a $175 bet on Berrer at Pinnacle Sports and an $800 bet on Robredo at Expekt and you will make a profit of either $22.50 or $25. Assuming the favourite wins, that is a 2.56% return on investment.

English Premiership – Reading Vs Arsenal

Pinnacle Sports has odds of 7.00 on Reading to win

LadBrokes has odds of 17.00 on a draw

Victor Chandler has odds of 1.30 on Arsenal to win

  1. $1000 x 7.00 = $142.85
  2. $1000 x 17.00 = $58.82
  3. $1000 x 1.30 = $769.23

By placing those 3 bets we are committing (140 + 60 + 770) $970 in order to lock in a winnings of either (140 x 7) $980, (60 x 17) $1020, or (770 x 1.3)
$1001. If the underdog wins (unlikely), we will make $10 profit. If it is a draw (least likely) we will make $50 profit. If the favourite wins (most likely) we will make $31.

Clearly in this arb, as in all arbs, you can change the bets on each side a little in order to affect profits from that outcome. Often the favourite will win, and so people like to bias the bets in the favour of that outcome. However as you can see here, a small increase in the bet on Draw (rounded up
from $58.82 to $60) resulted in a large increase in profits for that outcome. Thus in this example it would be possible to place a risk free bet on the draw and make quite
a substantial profit.

Additional Reading

2 thoughts on “Real Arbitrage Examples

  1. God day, sir!

    Lars from Sweden here. I am new tho this market and I try to figure out how it works. Thanks to your explanation it is a lot clearer now. However, there is one thing that confuses me and I refer to your example given in the Real Arbitrage and the football match Bucharest versus Real Madrid. The example is showing a bet on either Bucharest or RM but what happens if the result is a draw? No bet on a draw and no win?

    1. Bucharest has a +0.5 point handicap. If there is a draw, the Bucharest +0.5 score will be the winning side(winning by 0.5 points), thus that bet will win.

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